Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 4.281801 4.615355 4.973789 5.389561 5.861066 6.382152 7.005744
2025-05-04 3.809053 4.286000 4.834532 5.520495 6.367723 7.397088 8.770490
2025-05-11 3.455307 3.996647 4.647564 5.504513 6.629736 8.098540 10.238361
2025-05-18 3.185318 3.759890 4.474109 5.452367 6.801131 8.669999 11.611147
2025-05-25 2.931745 3.512232 4.251723 5.295339 6.789799 8.962249 12.610539
2025-06-01 2.741224 3.326013 4.086975 5.189592 6.823471 9.306776 13.747577
2025-06-08 2.620414 3.219597 4.015951 5.201092 7.020546 9.920325 15.481039
2025-06-15 2.538318 3.157229 3.997122 5.280991 7.324890 10.750001 17.846349
2025-06-22 2.383668 2.985278 3.811321 5.093459 7.178095 10.777401 18.600614
2025-06-29 2.262935 2.853394 3.673640 4.966483 7.114146 10.939034 19.690083
2025-07-06 2.160732 2.741896 3.558130 4.863535 7.077297 11.141497 20.935454
2025-07-13 2.091269 2.673030 3.500418 4.846138 7.184156 11.635335 23.075290
2025-07-20 2.056736 2.655796 3.523053 4.968107 7.569024 12.798546 27.680244
2025-07-27 2.018098 2.631007 3.533376 5.072307 7.940177 14.035787 33.413421
2025-08-03 1.954571 2.565837 3.476831 5.057208 8.079867 14.785411 38.129458
2025-08-10 1.889280 2.494682 3.406357 5.011299 8.151413 15.389591 42.848997
2025-08-17 1.808876 2.397196 3.288889 4.873170 8.017798 15.448172 45.323155
2025-08-24 1.743491 2.319947 3.200023 4.780001 7.967992 15.720244 49.152397
2025-08-31 1.703742 2.280219 3.169506 4.790139 8.139480 16.640663 57.591541
2025-09-07 1.678392 2.261447 3.171842 4.860534 8.452222 18.063484 71.742273
2025-09-14 1.609434 2.172130 3.053371 4.695197 8.212543 17.753588 73.231682
2025-09-21 1.554181 2.102635 2.965336 4.583023 8.085779 17.781369 77.760815
2025-09-28 1.505858 2.042513 2.890607 4.491942 7.999406 17.925156 83.819699